Let us create a 3D eBook for you!
Let us create a 3d Digital eBook for you! DigyCat.com

Global Markets: A Window on the World Economy


Expectations drive the market. Every stock price is driven by what people expect the company to do. That's why all the talk about a strong or weak economy has such an impact.But those aren't the only expectations moving us. We've seen the impact of war and terrorism worries on markets and the impact of SARS concerns on Asian markets.

Markets move on a combination of expectations and reality, and every reality leads us to new expectations. Great earnings? I expect the company will earn more. A sales slump? I expect the company to struggle next year too. The question is: if all decisions are made on expectations (and they are), how can things turn around? If our expectations are so colored by past events, we'll expect the future to be as grim as the past, and nothing can ever change, can it? Ah, but we have long memories. Ask yourself: what would it take for you to change your outlook? What would it take for all of us to change our outlook? The answer to that last question effectively tells us when the market will turn, because when everyone is upbeat and buying, the market will fly.

Consistently rising earnings will change expectations, but how much positive news is necessary before the turn begins? Will some companies turn before the market? Consider Constellation Brands or Fortune Brands, two of our recommendations that haven't seen any drops, and in fact are defying estimates of weakness. Should we expect those shares to rise based upon their own positive trends, or will the market turn first?

The answers aren't simple or uniform. There's no answer, only conjecture. We can make estimations. In the past, we've seen market turnarounds led by small stocks or led by big stocks, led by technology, or led by consumer goods. So, as we near the turn, you'll likely hear all kinds of suggestions for where the upturn will begin. Preserve your sanity with a little skepticism. I suspect the first to turn will be the ones that have had the best results for a long time. That's precisely why we're so aggressive in our recommendations of companies like Fortune and Constellation. If they are successful in maintaining their records, this type of firm will rise sooner than the rest.

It doesn't matter whether the companies are big or small, techie or traditional. The best companies will start the upward move. Without support from a strengthening economy and a rising market, even these success stories can't rise far. That's why expectations of the broader economy are important. That's where we'll have to wait and see. Expectations should rise now with the ending war (with stock prices and consumer spending following). Expect some good news for a while. Surprises from companies like McDonald's will also provide a boost. Surprises shake people out of expectation ruts. When we've become too negative (or too positive), a shock can wake us up to the change.Let's hope that McDonald's profit boost is a harbinger of things to come.

While the longer term still holds some uncertainty, there is hope. Success is largely a matter of recognizing expectations, and following through when we see an opening. For the moment, at least, there appears to be an opening. We don't know yet what the future holds, but the present looks good.

To send comments or to learn more about Scott Pearson's Investment Advisor Services, visit http://www.valueview.net

Scott Pearson is an investment advisor, writer, editor, instructor, and business leader. As President and Chief Investment Officer of Value View Financial Corp., he offers investment management services to a wide variety of clients. His own newsletter, Investor's Value View, is distributed worldwide and provides general money tips and investment advice to readers both internationally, and in the U.S.


MORE RESOURCES:

Investing - Google News

This RSS feed URL is deprecated

This RSS feed URL is deprecated, please update. New URLs can be found in the footers at https://news.google.com/news

Carrefour Steps up E-Commerce Push, Chases Deal in China - U.S. News & World Report


U.S. News & World Report

Carrefour Steps up E-Commerce Push, Chases Deal in China
U.S. News & World Report
People are silhouetted as they attend a news conference to present the strategic plan of French retailer Carrefour in La Defense, near Paris, France, January 23, 2018. REUTERS/Philippe Wojazer Reuters. By Dominique Vidalon. PARIS (Reuters) - Carrefour ...
Carrefour Plans to Cut 2400 Jobs, Invest $3.4 Billion Bloomberg

all 27 news articles »

US Product Lets Investors Triple Bet on Popular Tech Stocks - U.S. News & World Report


U.S. News & World Report

US Product Lets Investors Triple Bet on Popular Tech Stocks
U.S. News & World Report
Commuters pass by the NASDAQ Marketsite in New York, May 21, 2012. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid (UNITED STATES - Tags: BUSINESS) Reuters. By Trevor Hunnicutt. (Reuters) - Investors are getting a high-octane way to bet on or against the stock market's ...

and more »

Cramer's guide to investing in the stock market's winning sectors - CNBC


CNBC

Cramer's guide to investing in the stock market's winning sectors
CNBC
As a result, investors flocked to steady growth stocks like Visa and Mastercard, shying away from traditional bank equities altogether. Other than Visa, Mastercard, Discover, PayPal and ancillary plays like Moody's and Morningstar, "it was simply too ...

and more »

The Dinner That Changed the Investing World - Wall Street Journal


Wall Street Journal

The Dinner That Changed the Investing World
Wall Street Journal
As the first U.S. exchange-traded fund was being launched 25 years ago, the fund's backers gathered for a casual dinner on the 10th floor of the American Stock Exchange's art deco downtown headquarters. Ivers Riley, an exchange executive, made opening ...

Ripple Drops As Nervous Investors Flee Cryptocurrencies - Forbes - Forbes


Forbes

Ripple Drops As Nervous Investors Flee Cryptocurrencies - Forbes
Forbes
Charles Bovaird , Contributor I am a financial writer and consultant who focuses on investments. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. XRP fell today, losing more than other top cryptocurrencies. Shutterstock. Ripple's XRP token ...

and more »

General Electric: Lessons In KISS Investing - Seeking Alpha


Weekly Register

General Electric: Lessons In KISS Investing
Seeking Alpha
While I think retail investors often get themselves into silly situations, Keep It Simple Stupid (“KISS”) is always one of the best approaches smaller investors can take. While investors need to be educated on the companies they own or would like to ...
Financial Newsletter - Zacks Investment Research Zacks Investment Research
General Electric Company - GE - Stock Price Today - Zacks Zacks Investment Research

all 208 news articles »

One-Third of Americans Spend More on Coffee Than on Investing ... - Motley Fool


One-Third of Americans Spend More on Coffee Than on Investing ...
Motley Fool
There are plenty of reasons Americans aren't investing as much as they should. For many workers, it's a matter of not having the money available after paying living expenses. For others, it's a matter of absent knowledge and fear. But even when these ...

and more »

'Cash Flow Investing' - A Report Card - Seeking Alpha


'Cash Flow Investing' - A Report Card
Seeking Alpha
I have been a proponent of "Cash Flow Investing" for the last year and a half or so. I have never said that it is a substitute for appreciation plays but that it is an adjunct to them. For some people and institutions desiring a steady stream of income ...

Social, bitcoin and other hot topics at the Inside ETFs conference - CNBC


CNBC

Social, bitcoin and other hot topics at the Inside ETFs conference
CNBC
The biggest names in the ETF business gather to debate the future of investing and break down the skyrocketing growth of exchange-traded funds.

and more »

LargeFriends.com - the best dating site for plus-sized singles!
SuccessfulMatchCentral.com - the best dating site for plus-sized singles!

PreLaunchX

MyIdeal Domain Is For Sale - $8,000 For Enquiries eMail Us

© www.MyIdeal.biz - 2012

home | site map | links